WWIII Beckons Louder

Armenia and Azerbaijan play "tag"

I'm not a fan of disclaimers in general but in this particular scenario I feel this one is prudent, if not necessary. I am no history scholar; nor am I a war buff or analyst. This is a narrative war most of all, and I want to make sure you read these words from that very directly partisan viewpoint. “Historical” events (as recorded by our lord and master deceivers) will be included for narrative value only. There has been in the past and continues to be in the present extreme twists and turns made to paint the canvas of history with lots of colors over invisible ink.

First, a little housekeeping. This will be a composite in many areas so sources will be linked for direct singular references. Indirect background sources will be in a bibliography at the end, with (*) beside the most recommended.

In our last report, one of our headlines was about the very recent large military acquisitions from Israel to Azerbaijan. Well the past few days have been a true ant colony of activity on that score since. Backing up just a little, we find that just a week ago on September 2, declared Independence of Artsakh (AKA Nagorno-Karabakh) day, saw 22 cities around the world host marches by Armenian diaspora populations.

That's the visual backdrop for our project today. There are no coincidences and certainly no wasted efforts in this war. But a little drama has been playing out under the radar with implications so here's the play by play on that. First, since the Second Karabakh War (September 2020), there has been a peacekeeping force aligned with CSTO in Armenia that appears to be primarily if not completely Russian. Armenia refused to accept a January 2023 CTSO set of exercises because RF would participate. And another in August because they were located in Belarus. (Somewhat parallel to Serbia last year and then DC leaned in.) So a set of joint US-Armenian exercises (Eagle Partner 2023) in Armenia are planned for September 11-20. (Next week, not kidding.)

Seems that while Russia was never a favorite of Armenia they had been getting along okay until rather recently. The Armenian government submitted a draft resolution to join the ICC to their Parliament. They sent their first humanitarian aid package to Ukraine since the Feb 2022 start and it appears NATO has opted to open its arms widely. Seems that PM Pashinyan (installed puppet in 2018 - Velvet Revolution) has received some “sudden” assurances from the West. In an interview with Italian media he claims that the Russian peacekeeping mission failed and that they will be leaving. (Me wonders: springboard to a new coup attempt in Georgia. Or cut off Iran from Russia.)

Then Rybar adds this analysis which appeals strongly and fits like a glove. The French have ham handedly blustered their diplomatic way into this conflict. By bleating extra loud for Artsakh relief with hands behind their collective back, they practically guarantee martial conflict to come. PM Colonna (of Russia will be Russia - a part of Europe fame) this week demanded that Azerbaijan deblockade Artsakh from the EU Parliament floor. (Effective, just not of any action.) Israeli media have been on the warpath about it, and the ultra Orthodox politicians are backing the Azerbaijanis on the strength of mountain Jews there. President Herzog made an official visit May 30-31 with a large delegation.

Another piece related to the above outlines the Israeli propaganda war. Myths of all types and proportions abound simply to justify to their own citizens Israel's support of Azerbaijan as a buttered proxy for reaching Iran. (Whole lot of shaking going on!)

The French enter the narrative again in the guise of counterintelligence agents along with some kind of specialists of the IRGC. Seems Pashinyan is convinced what tops his neck is safest in the West. Because Turkey and Iran plan to use it as a football. Armenian intelligence personnel are “convinced” that the Putin-Erdogan Sochi Summit just past was planning a Turkish coup there. With Russia as mediator. Thus the appeals to Macron (too weak) and DC (too strong). Bottom line Pashinyan is overthrown or a big war happens. (I think it could be both.)

This may be my favorite. Turkish FM Hakan Fidan has been chronically sounding off (reported before in general) about plans to annex the Syunik region of Armenia, explained as “diversification of regional communications by opening the Zangezur corridor”, implying extraterritorial status of sovereign territory of Armenia. Iran has already stated it does not have an idle hand for the eye turned on that. (So what is all the yelling about?!)

Just to make things crystal clear the US Ambassador to Armenia, Christina Quinn, toured the Syunik region and mouthed all the appropriate flowery language for Americans have a fix for all your problems. Only price: your soul. How likely are the US and Israel to wind up on opposite sides of (any) war?

Others weighing in include Mediterranean Man: tensions running high. Fueled in part by Azerbaijani taunts. Middle East Spectator: important to note that Iran is not Armenia’s ally. Despite many media claims to the contrary. Over 16% of Iran's population is Azeri. They will not invite backlash from this quarter for Armenia. (Nor compromise on any border changes.)

The last one we'll get to is the emotional narrative. This is their absolute destroyer grade weapon. They always want you to think and act from the heart. Which is fine once you've filtered what's there with your brain or gut. So let’s get right in. Today's historical rehash is from ZeroHedge. This is a fairly succinct recap that a millennium long genocide of Armenians by Turks is still ongoing. There are now 120K Armenians living in Nagorno-Karabakh (ancient region of Artsakh). The (very forward looking) border makers in the USSR break up era awarded this territory to Azerbaijan, presumably for their own reasons because there were no other ones. After nearly 30 years nobody could stand it anymore (and our Armenian puppet was now in place) so a very brief war ensued with atrocities that would make Nazis or Crusaders blush. Now 2 years after that (9 months ago) Azerbaijan closes the only access road to this people. All the “right” experts call this a genocide. And no one does anything about it. UNSC moans and wrings hands. France (above) screams at the EU. Armenian puppet jumps up and down. And I'm thinking that a country who would feed half a dozen African countries for free, and which is coincidentally actively directly on site, probably could find a work around for this if so much as a whisper happened in their hearing.

This next is from our Prigogine 2023 channel and we will classify it as a rumor: 3 weeks ago there were 3000 “musicians” in Armenia. Perhaps joined now by 2000 new contract soldiers - mostly ethnic Armenians. (What a great job that relief mission would be for those!) Then there's this military analysis treatise: push Russia on enough fronts and that will do the trick. How wide a front did Armenia/Azerbaijan get with a narrative like that? As a reminder this was published in 2019: Trump still does not recognize Armenian genocide. (Which one do you think he meant?)

This Game of Thrones is entering the North negotiating with the South phase. All of the military build-up will continue; the calls to mobilization that were rumored yesterday are just bits of data refuse today. Think your way through the narratives before you engage any emotions. John Snow should be an object lesson of that kind. Varys knew it and used it always as a guide. Both did not get what they deserved in the movie, but they were the good guys and those prevailed. I do think Tyrion finally got that concept and became a better leader for it. And those are what are sorely lacking now in the truth community.

There are lessons every day, everywhere. This military ramp up will be prime time viewing. The best part is no cable subscription fees yet all the best entertainment is still available. Watch for those narratives! They don't bite but they sting a little if you ignore them. Until next time…

Our background information sources:

Cradle: Azerbaijan and Israel discuss Iranian Threats

Cradle:* The Unshakeable Putin-Erdogan Nexus

Rybar Analysis* (2022):

Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4.

More to come.